Political Risk Analysis - Policy-Making Still Constrained By Unions And IMF - JUNE 2017


BMI View: The policy-making process in Tunisia will remain constrained by the great influence of trade unions in the country, and by weak government stability in recent years. Although there is no imminent threat to the Chahed government, which benefits from broad-based support in parliament, slow progress on the economic front could result in a reshuffle over the coming months.

Six years after the revolution that overthrew President Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali in 2017, Tunisia continues to progress with its gradual democratic transition, as suggested by the organisation of the first local elections since the revolution, which will be held in December 2017. All political actors remain committed to the political transition which, combined with strong support from other countries, bodes well for Tunisia's trajectory. Nonetheless, the country still faces a myriad of challenges. The stability of successive governments has been sluggish since 2011. Combined with strong pressure by non-government actors, notably trade unions, the policy-making process will remain under severe constraints.

Chahed Government Stable For Now...

Strong And Stable Majority In Parliament
Source: BMI

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