Macroeconomic Forecasts - Macro Table - JULY 2017


Macroeconomic Forecasts (Mauritius 2013-2019)
Indicator 2013 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017f 2018f 2019f
National Sources/BMI
Population, mn 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
Nominal GDP, USDbn 11.9 12.8 11.7 12.2 12.2 12.9 14.0
GDP per capita, USD 9,572 10,242 9,303 9,711 9,685 10,237 11,002
Real GDP growth, % y-o-y 3.2 3.6 3.4 3.7 3.1 3.4 3.1
Consumer price inflation, % y-o-y, ave 3.6 3.2 1.3 1.0 2.4 3.5 4.8
Consumer price inflation, % y-o-y, eop 4.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 2.5 4.5 5.0
Central bank policy rate, % eop 4.65 4.65 4.40 4.00 3.50 3.50 4.50
Exchange rate MUR/USD, ave 30.75 30.64 35.11 35.55 36.00 36.50 36.90
Exchange rate MUR/USD, eop 30.05 31.75 35.85 35.97 36.40 37.00 37.20
Budget balance, MURbn -12.8 -12.6 -8.9 -14.8 -18.7 -20.7 -21.6
Budget balance, % of GDP -3.5 -3.2 -2.2 -3.4 -4.3 -4.4 -4.2
Goods and services exports, USDbn 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.2 5.1 5.4 5.7
Goods and services imports, USDbn 7.8 7.9 7.5 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.3
Current account balance, USDbn -1.2 -0.7 -0.4 -0.4 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8
Current account balance, % of GDP -9.9 -5.5 -3.6 -3.3 -6.9 -6.1 -5.9
Foreign reserves ex gold, USDbn 3.3 3.6 4.3 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.5
Import cover, months 6.4 6.9 8.4 11.5 11.0 10.2 9.4
Total external debt stock, USDbn 13.3 15.2 14.6 14.7 15.2 16.3 17.6
Total external debt stock, % of GDP 111.8 118.8 125.6 120.0 124.7 126.2 125.9