Africa Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Africa

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Economic Analysis - Infrastructure Investment Will Offer Tailwinds To Growth - NOV 2016

East & Central Africa September 2016 / Tanzania / Economy

Tanzania's growth prospects are bright in 2016 and 2017, supported by robust infrastructure investment and stronger household spending. While increased taxes on the tourism and telecoms sectors will offer some headwinds, we nevertheless single out Tanzania as a growth outperformer in the next two years.

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Economic Analysis - Economic Outlook Weak Amid Still-High Political Instability - NOV 2016

North Africa September 2016 / Libya / Economy

Libya's main rival factions will likely reach a peace deal within the next year, following which the new unity government will be able to gradually restore oil output. This improves the outlook for growth in the Libyan economy from 2017 onwards - though from a very low base, and subject to elevated political risks. We maintain our view that Libya's economy will not surpass its nominal 2012 levels for another decade.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Mozambique - NOV 2016

Southern Africa September 2016 / Mozambique / Economy

Mozambique

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Political Risk Analysis - Post-Election Violence Will Not Unseat Re-Elected Bongo - NOV 2016

West Africa September 2016 / Gabon / Political Risk

Outbreaks of violence across the Gabonese capital, Libreville, will not be enough to unseat re-elected President Ali Bongo. Bongo's victory in the August 27 presidential election is unlikely to be overturned, and we expect the unrest following the official results announcement, that has seen the burning of the parliament building and a raid on opposition HQ, to calm in the coming days and weeks.

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