Africa Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Africa

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Macroeconomic Forecasts - Uganda - JAN 2018

East & Central Africa November 2017 / Uganda / Economy

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Political Risk Analysis - President Sisi To Secure Second Term In 2018 - FEB 2018

North Africa December 2017 / Egypt / Political Risk

President Sisi is highly likely to secure a second term in Egypt's upcoming elections, scheduled for March-April 2018. This will broadly be positive for political and economic stability in the country over the coming years, although security risks are set to persist.

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Political Risk Analysis - Elective Conference Scenario Analysis: Ramaphosa To Win, But Struggle With Reforms - FEB 2018

Southern Africa December 2017 / South Africa / Political Risk

BMI View: Our core scenario is that Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa will win the ruling ANC's December elective conference, becoming the next party president. We expect Ramaphosa's victory to be hotly contested, preventing him from securing the political mandate to push through many structural economic reforms in South Africa. In this first article of our two-part series on the upcoming elective conference, we lay out our core view and consider what a Ramaphosa victory will mean for South Africa's economic trajectory.

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Economic Analysis - Underway Recovery Remains Susceptible To Downside Risk - FEB 2018

West Africa December 2017 / Nigeria / Economy

A gradual recovery in Nigeria's oil sector will see economic activity continue to accelerate over the coming quarters. That being said, this recovery depends largely on policy-makers, particularly with regard to much-needed reforms to make Nigeria a more attractive destination for foreign investment.

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