Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Africa

 

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Risk Summary - DRC - JAN 2015

East & Central Africa November 2014 / Congo / Political Risk

DRC

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Economic Analysis - Precarious Fiscal Position Over The Next Five Years - JAN 2015

North Africa November 2014 / Libya / Economy

Libya's budget deficit will remain elevated over the next five years despite a return to oil export growth in 2015. The government will muddle through the ongoing fiscal crisis next year by tapping into its foreign currency reserves. Given current low oil prices and protracted political instability, external financial support will be key to avoiding a full-blown financial crisis over the next five years.

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Economic Analysis - Cumulative 50 Basis Points Hike In 2015 - JAN 2015

Southern Africa November 2014 / Mauritius / Economy

We forecast a cumulative hike of 50 basis points to Mauritius's Key Repo Rate in 2015. Although inflation remains low, concerns over saving levels will see rates raised, especially as real GDP growth picks up.

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Risk Summary - Nigeria - JAN 2015

West Africa November 2014 / Nigeria / Economy

The governor of Adamawa State announced on November 13 that the Nigerian military, with assistance of local hunters and civilian vigilantes, has retaken two towns in that state that had been captured by Islamist militant group Boko Haram in late October. The Nigeria army was yet to confirm the governor's claims at the time of writing but local sources in Mubi and Maiha are quoted in Reuters saying that Boko Haram fighters had fled following an incursion by the military and its local allies.

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