Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Africa

 

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Macroeconomic Forecasts - Sudan - DEC 2014

East & Central Africa October 2014 / Sudan / Economy

Sudan

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Economic Analysis - Bleak Five-Year Outlook Amidst Protracted Instability - DEC 2014

North Africa October 2014 / Libya / Economy

We project real GDP growth of 16.7% in Libya in 2015, from a 27.6% contraction in 2014. The expansion will result from increasing oil exports - due to low base effects - while the rest of the economy will continue to contract. We project an average annual real GDP contraction of 0.5% over 2014-18, as efforts to diversify the economy away from crude are unsuccessful and political instability remains extremely elevated.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Macro Table - DEC 2014

Southern Africa October 2014 / Mauritius / Economy

Macro

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Economic Analysis - Hawkish Monetary Policy Statement Augurs Macro Stability - DEC 2014

West Africa October 2014 / Nigeria / Economy

September's hawkish monetary policy statement will calm lingering fears that new central bank governor Godwin Emefiele will prematurely loosen policy. This is important for macro stability given that food prices, rising banking sector liquidity and higher government spending ahead of the February 2015 election will increase inflationary pressures and exert depreciatory forces on the currency.

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