Africa Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Africa

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Economic Analysis - Scenario: US Recession And China Hard Landing - MAR 2016

East & Central Africa January 2016 / Africa / Economy

In this scenario piece, BMI's Africa team looks at the combined impact of a US recession and a Chinese hard landing on the economic outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in 2016. In such a scenario, Angola and Zambia would be the hardest hit due to their close ties to the Chinese economy. However, the impact of a US recession on global trade would have negative consequences across SSA.

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Economic Analysis - Devaluation Required To Avert BoP Crisis - MAR 2016

North Africa January 2016 / Egypt / Economy

Egypt's balance of payments position is facing a myriad of concerns with lower tourism revenues, the termination of Gulf assistance and a worsening trade balance all ensuring that a devaluation of the currency is need to avert a balance of payments crisis.

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Economic Analysis - MZN: Few Triggers For A Turnaround - MAR 2016

Southern Africa January 2016 / Mozambique / Economy

BMI View: The metical is set to depreciate further in the short-term given limited scope for successful intervention in the market or for the currency to overcome weak commodity prices and poor trading conditions with neighbouring South Africa. Over the longer term, twin deficits will limit opportunities for a turnaround.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Ghana - MAR 2016

West Africa January 2016 / Ghana / Economy

Ghana

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