Africa Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Africa

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Political Risk Analysis - Opposition Leader's Death Increases Threats To Stability - APR 2017

East & Central Africa February 2017 / Congo / Political Risk

The death of a leading opposition politician will make the DRC's pathway to elections, supposedly taking place before the end of 2017, a rocky one. We believe that instability in the form of popular protests and clashes between opposition supporters and security forces will remain commonplace over the course of the year.


Economic Analysis - Economy Experiencing Pain Before Gain - APR 2017

North Africa February 2017 / Egypt / Economy

Egypt's economy is undergoing a painful adjustment process that will keep growth relatively weak in both 2017 and 2018, thanks to high inflation and weak exports. Economic growth will pick up in 2019, if the reform process is allowed to run its course, something that is not assured, given rising political risk.


Economic Analysis - Trade Deficit Will Find More Sustainable Footing - APR 2017

Southern Africa February 2017 / Mozambique / Economy

The crisis in Mozambique's balance of payments has passed its worst point after a dramatic sell-off of the metical in 2016 tempered import demand. Export growth will likely remain in negative territory, but the continued decline of imports will narrow the current account deficit over the coming years, financed primarily by long-awaited investment into the gas sector.


Macroeconomic Forecasts - Cameroon - APR 2017

West Africa February 2017 / Cameroon / Economy

Key views on the economy of Cameroon.